Brock Purdy Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Pass Attempts

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 23, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).
This week, Brock Purdy is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.

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