Brock Purdy Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Interceptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 7, 2024 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 29.4.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

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