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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the poor Dolphins defense has conceded a monstrous 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-biggest rate in football.
  • The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Brock Purdy is projected by the projection model to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.7.
  • Brock Purdy's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his throwing precision over last season's 69.6% figure.

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