Brock Purdy Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Completions

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see just 120.9 total plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to throw 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.

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