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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.
  • Brock Purdy profiles as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an impressive 69.0% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 49.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 53.1 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Brock Purdy is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.6.

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