Brock Purdy Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Completions

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Brock Purdy's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.4% to 71.1%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL vs. the Cardinals defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

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