Brock Purdy Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Completions

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
Brock Purdy's 71.4% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a substantial improvement in his passing precision over last season's 66.4% mark.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the 49ers being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 50.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.9 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 30.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

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