Brock Purdy Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brock Purdy has been among the most accurate passers in football since the start of last season with an impressive 66.5% Completion%, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Brock Purdy has attempted a mere 19.4 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (66.0%).

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