Brock Purdy Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to accrue 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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