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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 45.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • The 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year in run blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
  • The projections expect Brock Purdy to notch 2.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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