Brock Purdy Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 45.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
The 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year in run blocking.

Favors Under

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
The projections expect Brock Purdy to notch 2.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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