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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to run on 44.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The San Francisco O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year in run support.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.5 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to total 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.

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