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Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 6th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects Brian Robinson to notch 14.8 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among RBs.Brian Robinson has picked up 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (78th percentile).Brian Robinson's rushing efficiency has been refined this season, totaling 6.05 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.99 mark last season.Brian Robinson has been more successful in picking up extra rushing yardage this year, notching 5.07 yards-after-contact vs a 2.93 rate last year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.After making up 60.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Brian Robinson has played a smaller part in the run game this season, now accounting for just 49.1%.The Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
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