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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

With an outstanding tally of 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Brian Robinson has been among the top running backs in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

After accounting for 60.5% of his team's run game usage last season, Brian Robinson has been called on less the ground game this season, now sitting at only 46.0%.

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