Brian Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to total 12.7 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
Brian Robinson has earned 52.9% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.17 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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