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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Brian Robinson's 1.4 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 2.4 mark.

Brian Robinson's 83.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 90.4% mark.

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