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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.5%) to RBs this year (88.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Brian Robinson's 1.4 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 2.4 mark.

Brian Robinson's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 90.4% to 81.0%.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

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