Brian Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 13.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Philadelphia's DT corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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