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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 60.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Brian Robinson has notched a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Brian Robinson has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

Brian Robinson's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 90.4% to 83.0%.

Brian Robinson's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating just 6.63 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.86 figure last season.

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