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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Brian Robinson has compiled a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among running backs.

Brian Robinson's 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 24.0 rate.

Brian Robinson's 83.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 90.4% mark.

Brian Robinson's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.9 mark.

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