Brian Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Brian Robinson's 32.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates a a noteable improvement in his passing offense workload over last season's 20.0% figure.
The Commanders O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Brian Robinson's 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a a significant progression in his receiving ability over last year's 5.0 mark.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.
Brian Robinson has accrued a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Brian Robinson is positioned as one of the weakest RBs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.