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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Brian Robinson's 32.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates a a noteable improvement in his passing offense workload over last season's 20.0% figure.
  • The Commanders O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Brian Robinson's 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a a significant progression in his receiving ability over last year's 5.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.
  • Brian Robinson has accrued a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Brian Robinson is positioned as one of the weakest RBs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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