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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Commanders to be the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Brian Robinson's 10.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 5.2.

Brian Robinson's 24.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a significant gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 5.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

Brian Robinson has put up a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Brian Robinson stands as one of the best RBs in the pass game in the NFL in space.

This year, the formidable Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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