The Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 12.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are heavy -8.5-point underdogs.The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 67.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Brian Robinson has been more heavily utilized in his team's pass attack.
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