Brian Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders have used play action on 34.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.