My Account Log Out

reorder

Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.4 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders offensive line has given their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Brian Robinson has notched a meager -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 24th percentile among running backs.

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Brian Robinson has been among the bottom RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™