Brian Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+150/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
Brian Robinson has posted a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile among running backs.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Brian Robinson has been among the weakest RB receiving threats this year, averaging a lowly 1.0 yards per game while checking in at the 2nd percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 5.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.

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