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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 60.5% of his team's run game usage last season, Brian Robinson has been called on less the ground game this season, now sitting at only 46.0%.

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