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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 48.7% of their plays: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Brian Robinson to accrue 16.3 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brian Robinson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (49.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (60.4%).

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