Brian Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to total 14.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Brian Robinson has received 53.5% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 9.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 9th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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