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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 6th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.8% run rate.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to total 13.8 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Brian Robinson has received 51.8% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.

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