Brian Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to garner 15.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Brian Robinson has received 50.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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