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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to garner 15.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Brian Robinson has received 50.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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