Brian Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 4th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to accrue 13.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Brian Robinson has received 50.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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