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Brevin Jordan

Brevin Jordan Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Brevin Jordan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This week, Brevin Jordan is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 3.9 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Brevin Jordan to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this contest (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
  • Brevin Jordan's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 49.2% to 81.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the stout Jets defense has yielded a mere 65.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The New York Jets linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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