Brevin Jordan Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brevin Jordan

NFL · Player Props

Brevin Jordan

TE · Houston Texans

Receptions

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Brevin Jordan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Brevin Jordan's 22.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 78th percentile for tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Brevin Jordan's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.7% to 32.9%.
The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

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