Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brevin Jordan

NFL · Player Props

Brevin Jordan

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This week, Brevin Jordan is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 3.9 targets.
Our trusted projections expect Brevin Jordan to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this contest (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
Brevin Jordan has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Brevin Jordan's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 49.2% to 81.4%.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
After accruing 19.0 air yards per game last season, Brevin Jordan has been a disappointment this season, now boasting 8.0 per game.
This year, the stout Jets defense has yielded a mere 65.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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