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Brevin Jordan

Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • Brevin Jordan has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 48.4% of snaps compared to just 36.2% last year.
  • Brevin Jordan has totaled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (7.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
  • Brevin Jordan's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.7% to 37.0%.
  • Brevin Jordan's receiving efficiency has declined this year, notching a measly 1.93 yards-per-target compared to a 6.32 rate last year.

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