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Brevin Jordan

Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Brevin Jordan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brevin Jordan to notch 4.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Brevin Jordan has been among the least effective receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a lowly 6.31 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 11th percentile.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.31 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.

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