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Brett Rypien

Brett Rypien Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Brett Rypien Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-148).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brett Rypien to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (12.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.5% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 5.20 yards-per-carry.
  • The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Brett Rypien this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Broncos rank as the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 38.0% run rate.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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