Brett Rypien Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brett Rypien

NFL · Player Props

Brett Rypien

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brett Rypien Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-148).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Brett Rypien to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (12.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.5% in games he has played).
The Arizona Cardinals defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 5.20 yards-per-carry.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Brett Rypien this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Broncos rank as the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 38.0% run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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