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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 6 points.

The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 15.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

Breece Hall has been given 62.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

With a fantastic tally of 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (84th percentile), Breece Hall has been among the best running backs in the league since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 4th-least run-centric team in the league (36.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jets.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially deflated (and rushing stats propped up a bit) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with improved conditions in this week's contest.

Breece Hall's rushing effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 3.57 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.39 rate last year.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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