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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

In this week's game, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile among running backs with 18.0 carries.

While Breece Hall has earned 57.2% of his team's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New York's ground game in this week's game at 70.7%.

With an impressive rate of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Breece Hall rates among the leading pure rushers in the NFL last year.

Breece Hall's rushing efficiency (4.39 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (76th percentile when it comes to running backs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

Since the start of last season, the weak Tennessee Titans run defense has given up a whopping 3.95 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 28th-biggest rate in football.

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