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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.
  • This week, Breece Hall is expected by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile among RBs with 16.6 carries.
  • With a stellar total of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (76th percentile), Breece Hall rates as one of the top pure runners in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Breece Hall has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 76.0% of snaps vs just 55.3% last year.
  • Breece Hall's ground effectiveness (3.72 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (8th percentile among running backs).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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