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Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher run volume.In this week's game, Breece Hall is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.1 rush attempts.Breece Hall has earned 59.0% of his offense's run game usage last year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.Breece Hall has averaged 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (85th percentile).Breece Hall grades out as one of the best RBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.43 yards-after-contact last year while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 37.0% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the projections to run just 63.0 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.The New York Jets have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football last year, which should lead to higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing more favorable conditions in this week's contest.The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 88.0 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense last year.
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