Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to earn 16.4 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to be much more involved in his team's run game in this week's game (61.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.3% in games he has played).
Breece Hall has grinded out 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (86th percentile).
Breece Hall's running efficiency (5.45 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (97th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 41.2% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the worst in the league last year.

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