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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to earn 16.4 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to be much more involved in his team's run game in this week's game (61.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.3% in games he has played).
  • Breece Hall has grinded out 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (86th percentile).
  • Breece Hall's running efficiency (5.45 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (97th percentile when it comes to RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 41.2% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
  • When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the worst in the league last year.

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