Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Breece Hall has been given 46.4% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Breece Hall has generated 66.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among running backs (92nd percentile).
Breece Hall's rushing efficiency (5.77 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (94th percentile among running backs).
Breece Hall has been among the best running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 5.12 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

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