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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to garner 14.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Out of all RBs, Breece Hall grades out in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 54.8% of the workload in his offense's running game.

This year, the stout Commanders run defense has surrendered a puny 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the worst in football last year.

Breece Hall's 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his rushing talent over last year's 66.0 mark.

Breece Hall's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive diminishment in his running talent over last year's 5.8 figure.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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