Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
In this game, Breece Hall is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 84th percentile among running backs with 15.0 carries.
Among all RBs, Breece Hall ranks in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 55.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.
Breece Hall profiles as one of the top RBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.25 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
The Dolphins defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Tim Boyle.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Jets being a huge -9.5-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Jets as the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.4 plays per game.

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