Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, Breece Hall is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.
Breece Hall has received 55.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall ranks as one of the top running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.36 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 95th percentile.
The Bills defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
The model projects the New York Jets offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays.
This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

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