Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-140/+100).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 4.98 yards-per-carry.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Favors Under
The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.