Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.
The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have elected to go for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
The New York Jets have used some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 106 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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