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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 39.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
  • The New York Jets have incorporated some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be starting backup QB Joe Flacco in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles profile as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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