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Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.The New York Jets have used some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.29 yards-per-carry.
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